After a year of unprecedented proliferation of spyware, malware and cyber attacks of all types, security software vendor Symantec warns there's plenty more where that came from in its just-released 2010 Security Trends to Watch report.
Kevin Haley, Symantec Security Response group product manager, this week posted an ironic blog entry titled "Dont Read This Blog" to draw attention to the company's latest report and to illustrate how Internet users have been conditioned to click any compelling link without regard to the possibleand often probable -- security consequences of their actions.
"We love to click," he wrote. "Clicking on links and attachments that are accompanied by just the slightest bit of social engineering appears to be a basic human need."
"I expect it to show in a revision of Maslow's Hierarchy of Human Needs any day now -- behind love, but certainly ahead of safety," he added.
Whether it's a come-on for what appears to be a friendly game of online Monopoly or the incessant and sinister pleadings of a bogus antivirus application, malware scams have become more sophisticated and damaging with each passing day.
A report released earlier this year by the Anti-Phishing Working Group (APWG) found that fake anti-malware and security software programs soared up more than 585 percent in the first half of 2009 alone. In 2007, Gartner said that more than 3.6 million people lost more than $3.2 billion to malicious phishing scams.
"Yes, it's a cheap trick and not even close to original," Haley wrote of his creative blog title. "[But] since social engineering plays such a prominent role in future trends, it seemed appropriate."
The dirty baker's dozen
Whether you're using your mobile phone to check e-mail and surf the Web or an enterprise IT administrator charged with safeguarding your company's data, Symantec says the following 13 security issues will be most relevant in 2010:
1) Antivirus is not enough
With the rise of polymorphic threats and the explosion of unique malware variants in 2009, the industry is quickly realizing that traditional approaches to antivirus (including both file signatures and heuristic/behavioral capabilities) are not enough to protect against todays threats. We have reached an inflection point, where new malicious programs are actually being created at a higher rate than good programs.
Approaches to security that looks for ways to include all software files, such as reputation-based security, will become key in 2010.
2) Social engineering as the primary attack vector
More and more, attackers are going directly after the end user and attempting to trick them into downloading malware or divulging sensitive information under the auspice that they are doing something perfectly innocent. Social engineerings popularity is at least in part spurred on by the fact that what operating system and Web browser rests on a users computer is largely irrelevant, as it is the actual user being targeted, not necessarily vulnerabilities on the machine.
3) Rogue security software vendors escalate their efforts
In 2010, expect to see the propagators of rogue security software scams take their efforts to the next level, even by hijacking users computers, rendering them useless and holding them for ransom. A less drastic next step, however, would be software that is not explicitly malicious, but dubious at best.
For example, Symantec has already observed some rogue antivirus vendors selling rebranded copies of free third-party antivirus software as their own offerings. In these cases, users are technically getting the antivirus software that they pay for, but the reality is that this same software can actually be downloaded for free elsewhere.
4) Social networking third-party apps will fraud targets
With the popularity of social networking sites poised for another year of unprecedented growth, expect to see fraud being targeted toward social site users to grow.
As this occurs, and as these sites more readily provide third-party developer access to their APIs, attackers will likely turn to vulnerabilities in third-party applications for users social networking account information, just as we have seen attackers take advantage of browser plug-ins more as Web browsers themselves become more secure.
Next page: Windows 7 will come in the crosshairs of attackers